Validation of the CoVID-TE model as a tool to predict thrombosis, bleeding, and mortality in the oncology patient with Sars-Cov-2 infection: a study by the SEOM cancer and thrombosis group.

PURPOSE: The CoVID-TE model was developed with the aim of predicting venous thrombotic events (VTE) in cancer patients with Sars-Cov-2 infection. Moreover, it was capable of predicting hemorrhage and mortality 30 days following infection diagnosis. The model is pending validation. METHODS/PATIENTS: Multicenter retrospective study (10 centers). Adult patients with active oncologic disease/ antineoplastic therapy with Sars-Cov-2 infection hospitalized between March 1, 2020 and March 1. 2022 were recruited. The primary endpoint was to study the association between the risk categories of the CoVID-TE model and the occurrence of thrombosis using the Chi-Square test. Secondary endpoints were to demonstrate the association between these categories and the occurrence of post-diagnostic Sars-Cov-2 bleeding/ death events. The Kaplan-Meier method was also used to compare mortality by stratification. RESULTS: 263 patients were enrolled. 59.3% were men with a median age of 67 years. 73.8% had stage IV disease and lung cancer was the most prevalent tumor (24%). A total of 86.7% had an ECOG 0-2 and 77.9% were receiving active antineoplastic therapy. After a median follow-up of 6.83 months, the incidence of VTE, bleeding, and death 90 days after Sars-Cov-2 diagnosis in the low-risk group was 3.9% (95% CI 1.9-7.9), 4.5% (95% CI 2.3-8.6), and 52.5% (95% CI 45.2-59.7), respectively. For the high-risk group it was 6% (95% CI 2.6-13.2), 9.6% (95% CI 5.0-17.9), and 58.0% (95% CI 45.3-66.1). The Chi-square test for trends detected no statistically significant association between these variables (p > 0.05). Median survival in the low-risk group was 10.15 months (95% CI 3.84-16.46), while in the high-risk group it was 3.68 months (95% CI 0.0-7.79). The differences detected were not statistically significant (p = 0.375). CONCLUSIONS: The data from our series does not validate of the CoVID-TE as a model to predict thrombosis, hemorrhage, or mortality in cancer patients with Sars-Cov-2 infection.

Thrombosis and Coagulopathy in COVID-19.

Since December 2019, an outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) which initially occurred in the city of Wuhan, located in China's Hubei province, spread around the world and on March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization declared the new Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) as a pandemic. The presence of comorbidities (eg, cardiovascular disease, obesity), Sepsis Induced Coagulopathy score >4, elevation of D-dimer (>6 times the normal value), C-reactive protein, troponins and other disseminated intravascular coagulation markers; is associated to a worse prognosis in hospitalized patients with severe COVD-19, reaching a hospital mortality of 42%. Initial anticoagulant treatment with low molecular weight heparin has been shown to reduce mortality by 48% at 7 days and 37% at 28 days and achieve a significant improvement in the arterial oxygen pressure/inspired fraction of O2 (PaO2/FiO2) by mitigating the formation of microthrombi and associated pulmonary coagulopathy.